Assessing a new treatment using echocardiography

Cardiovascular risk prediction model

Moving away from one-size-fits-all treatment and care

Using population data, epidemiologists have developed an algorithm that predicts risk of experiencing a heart attack within the next five years. Further research is now needed to refine the model, so it can better predict the five-year risk for individual patients. With your support, researchers at Manaaki Mānawa will use biomarkers, more precise diagnosis, physiological measurements and other prognostic indicators to improve the model’s accuracy, so its predictions can help guide and improve treatments.

“What we’re setting up here is better identification, better prediction, and hence, better treatment strategies for patients.”

Professor Rod Jackson, Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Auckland

Links to Articles 

Here are some articles that our researchers are involved in


Title: Worldwide trends in hypertension prevalence and progress in treatment and control from 1990 to 2019:a pooled analysis of 1201 population-representative studies with 104 million participants

NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC) DOI:

What are the gaps in cardiovascular risk assessment and management in primary care for Māori and Pacific people in Aotearoa New Zealand? Protocol for a systematic review

Karen Marie Brewer, Corina Grey, Janine Paynter1, Julie Winter-Smith, Sandra Hanchard, Vanessa Selak, Shanthi Ameratunga, Matire Harwood

Predicting cardiovascular risk from national administrative databases using a combined survival analysis and deep learning approach

Sebastiano Barbieri, Suneela Mehta, Billy Wu, Chrianna Bharat, Katrina Poppe, Louisa Jorm, Rod Jackson

Cardiovascular risk management requires a combination of cardiovascular preventive pharmacotherapy and non-pharmacological interventions

Suneela Mehta, Jinfeng Zhao, Katrina Poppe, Andrew J Kerr, Sue Wells, Dan J Exeter, Vanessa Selak, Corina Grey, Rod Jackson

Cardiovascular risk prediction in type 2 diabetes before and after widespread screening: a derivation and validation study

Romana Pylypchuk, Sue Wells, Andrew Kerr, Katrina Poppe, Matire Harwood, Suneela Mehta, Corina Grey, Billy P Wu, Vinessa Selak, Paul L Drury, Wing Cheuk Chan, Brandon Orr-Walker, Winki Murphy, Jim Mann, Jeremy D Krebs, Jinfeng Zhao, Rod Jackson

Development and validation of a cardiovascular risk score for patients in the community after acute coronary syndrome

Katrina K Poppe, Rob N Doughty, Susan Wells, Billy Wu, Nikki J Earle, A Mark Richards, Richard W Troughton, Rod Jackson, Andrew J Kerr